SurveyUSA (10/26-27, likely voters, 10/6-7 in parens):
Ashwin Madia (D): 44 (46)
Erik Paulsen (R-inc): 45 (43)
Other: 9 (n/a)
(MoE: ±3.9%)
Paulsen takes the slimmest of leads in SurveyUSA’s latest Minnesota poll. This seems to run counter to the general sense that Madia has been pulling away from Paulsen in recent days. Of course, like a lot of SUSA polls from Minnesota, there are weird things at work in the crosstabs. For instance, Paulsen takes a 44-41 lead among 18 to 34 year-olds (a group where Madia had held a 52-42 lead earlier in the month).
It seems that the kids just can’t get enough of the GOP in Minnesota — the kids who are square enough to answer their landline and talk to a robot pollster, at least.
SUSA has produced some pretty favorable polls for Republicans this year in Minnesota in both the Presidential and Senate contests, so I’ll take this one with a grain of salt.
that means we’re up like 5% then. 🙂
the problems with SUSA in Minnesota are well-documented. It’s odd because they do pretty well in almost every other state. This remains a very good district for us demographically and I can’t help but think Madia is favored in this climate.